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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Heerenveen

U T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

27%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 66%

64%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 4. · Excelsior 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+29	36
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+23	36
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	8	6	1	+16	30
4	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+12	25
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	7	1	+10	22
6	Twente	15	5	6	4	+3	21
7	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+3	20
8	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Heracles	15	4	6	5	-5	18
10	Nijmegen	16	4	6	6	-10	18
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	5	6	-5	17
12	Groningen	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-8	15
15	Den Haag	16	4	2	10	-14	14
16	Zwolle	15	3	4	8	-18	13
17	Roda	16	1	9	6	-13	12
18	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	2	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+20	20
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	4	0	+8	13
4	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
5	Twente	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Heerenveen	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Vitesse	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	Zwolle	8	2	2	4	-10	8
16	Den Haag	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Willem II	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Roda	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	3	0	+13	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Vitesse	7	2	3	2	+2	9
6	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Twente	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Groningen	8	2	2	4	+2	8
10	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
12	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-7	7
13	Den Haag	9	2	1	6	-10	7
14	Excelsior	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Nijmegen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.