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Bundesliga
Referee: Harm Osmers
Hertha
T S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 43%
62%
23%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
54%
100%
Both score Ø 69%
46%
92%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 3. · Werder Bremen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 10 3 1 +25 33
2 RB Leipzig 14 10 3 1 +17 33
3 Hertha 13 8 3 2 +9 27
4 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 0 +11 26
5 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Dortmund 14 7 4 3 +16 25
7 FC Koln 14 6 5 3 +6 23
8 Freiburg 14 6 1 7 -7 19
9 Schalke 04 13 5 2 6 +3 17
10 Leverkusen 13 5 2 6 -1 17
11 Mainz 13 5 2 6 -2 17
12 Augsburg 14 3 5 6 -5 14
13 M'gladbach 13 3 4 6 -9 13
14 Werder Bremen 13 3 2 8 -15 11
15 Wolfsburg 14 2 4 8 -11 10
16 Hamburg 14 2 4 8 -16 10
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 14 2 3 9 -13 9
18 Darmstadt 14 2 2 10 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Werder Bremen
V. Stocker 🔁
↦ S. Langkamp
20′
41′
M. Kruse 0–1
Half-time 0–1
M. Weiser 🔁
↦ A. Esswein
57′
62′
🟨 Philipp Bargfrede
64′
🟨 Clemens Fritz
J. Schieber 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
71′
78′
🔁 T. Gebre Selassie
↦ S. García
81′
🟨 Max Kruse
84′
🔁 M. Veljkovic
↦ M. Kruse
88′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ S. Gnabry
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
3 P. Skjelbred M
7 A. Esswein M
6 V. Darida M
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
14 V. Stocker
23 M. Weiser
16 J. Schieber
1 T. Kraft
11 S. Allagui
20 Allan
24 G. Haraguchi

Coach: P. Dárdai

Werder Bremen

4-4-2
33 J. Drobný G
18 N. Moisander D
26 L. Sané D
2 S. García D
4 R. Bauer D
8 C. Fritz M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
29 S. Gnabry M
14 C. Pizarro F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
23 T. Gebre Selassie
13 M. Veljkovic
16 Z. Junuzović
7 F. Kainz
9 A. Jóhannsson
39 L. Fröde
42 F. Wiedwald

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Harm Osmers · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.