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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Kortrijk
S S U T T
0–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
18%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
71%
47%
Both score Ø 65%
82%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 6. · St Truiden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 13 9 2 2 +13 29
2 Standard 17 8 4 5 +13 28
3 Anderlecht 12 8 2 2 +18 26
4 Gent 12 8 2 2 +12 26
5 Mechelen 17 7 4 6 -1 25
6 Kortrijk 17 6 6 5 -1 24
7 Genk 17 7 3 7 -6 24
8 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
9 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
10 Charleroi 13 6 5 2 +3 23
11 Lokeren 18 5 4 9 -7 19
12 Eupen 18 4 5 9 -13 17
13 Beveren 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 St Truiden 17 3 4 10 -9 13
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 2 12 -19 11
16 Westerlo 17 2 5 10 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St Truiden
6′
W. Janssens 0–1
M. Bagayoko
31′
🟨 Mamadou Bagayoko
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 Y. Boli
↦ W. Janssens
60′
🟨 Steven De Petter
S. Sarr 🔁
↦ H. Kage
68′
A. Papazoglou 🔁
↦ D. Goutas
76′
A. Totovytsky 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
86′
87′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ P. Gerkens
91′
🔁 Jorge Pulido
↦ M. Bagayoko
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
8 N. Pavlović M
10 H. Kage F
30 K. D'Haene F
25 X. Mercier M
26 E. Rolland M
5 B. Verstraete M
27 I. Ouali M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
88 S. Sarr
9 A. Papazoglou
29 A. Totovytsky
13 M. Sifakis
15 R. Métanire
17 G. De Mets
24 L. Rougeaux

Coach: B. Van Lancker

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Ruben Fernandes D
18 M. Bagayoko D
3 D. Dakonam D
6 S. De Petter M
8 S. Peeters M
16 C. Cuevas M
14 P. Gerkens M
9 N. Proschwitz F
22 W. Janssens F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Boli
10 R. Bezus
4 Jorge Pulido
1 Y. Vanwelkenhuysen
19 Cristian Ceballos
20 D. Dussaut
37 J. Bamba

Coach: I. Leko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.