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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Eupen
U S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Charleroi
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 17/12 matches
Win Ø 37%
24%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
76%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 12. · Charleroi 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 13 9 2 2 +13 29
2 Standard 17 8 4 5 +13 28
3 Anderlecht 12 8 2 2 +18 26
4 Gent 12 8 2 2 +12 26
5 Mechelen 17 7 4 6 -1 25
6 Kortrijk 17 6 6 5 -1 24
7 Genk 17 7 3 7 -6 24
8 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
9 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
10 Charleroi 12 6 4 2 +3 22
11 Lokeren 18 5 4 9 -7 19
12 Eupen 17 4 4 9 -13 16
13 Beveren 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 St Truiden 17 3 4 10 -9 13
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 2 12 -19 11
16 Westerlo 17 2 5 10 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Aug -16 Charleroi – Eupen 3–2

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
1–0 M. Sylla
32′
B. Niasse 🔁
↦ H. Van Crombrugge
41′
44′
B. Niasse 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Benavente
↦ D. Bakar
3–0 H. Onyekuru
Cases
55′
60′
M. Fall 3–1
C. Benavente
F. Taulemesse 🔁
↦ J. Amani
62′
69′
🟨 Benjamin Boulenger
Jeffren Suarez 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ M. Fall
84′
🔁 D. Dessoleil
↦ Javi Martos
Jose Maria Cases 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
42 P. Hackenberg D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman D
2 I. Diallo D
18 G. Dufour M
8 J. Amani M
91 Cases F
9 Jeffren F
20 M. Sylla F
21 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
30 B. Niasse
19 F. Taulemesse
4 I. Diédhiou
13 D. Mouchamps
23 A. Sanogo
25 G. Jamabo
27 N. Radebe

Coach: Jordi Condom

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
5 B. Boulenger D
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
22 G. Hendrickx M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
21 D. Bakar F
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
14 C. Benavente
7 C. Tainmont
24 D. Dessoleil
10 D. Pollet
15 V. Baume
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.