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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
Feyenoord
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 79%
90%
67%
Points per game
2,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
50%
78%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,6
2,2
Conceded
0,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Heerenveen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 10 9 1 0 +22 28
2 Ajax 11 8 2 1 +15 26
3 PSV Eindhoven 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Heerenveen 9 6 2 1 +13 20
5 Twente 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 Vitesse 11 4 3 4 +2 15
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 4 1 +5 13
8 Sparta Rotterdam 11 3 4 4 -1 13
9 Zwolle 11 3 3 5 -9 12
10 Utrecht 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Den Haag 10 3 2 5 -6 11
12 Nijmegen 10 2 4 4 -7 10
13 Excelsior 11 3 1 7 -8 10
14 Willem II 11 2 4 5 -8 10
15 Heracles 11 1 6 4 -5 9
16 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 2 7 -11 8
17 Roda 11 1 5 5 -11 8
18 Groningen 10 1 3 6 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heerenveen
5′
R. Ghoochannejhad 0–1
A. Zeneli
Eric Botteghin 🟨
20′
22′
🟨 Reza Ghoochannejhad
1–1 N. Jørgensen
J. Toornstra
26′
Rick Karsdorp 🟨
31′
2–1 R. Karsdorp
42′
Half-time 2–2
60′
A. Zeneli 2–2
M. Thorsby
67′
🔁 C. Cavlan
↦ J. van Aken
E. Elia 🔁
↦ B. Basaçikoglu
69′
76′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ A. Zeneli
84′
🔁 L. Slagveer
↦ S. Larsson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
7 D. Kuijt M
9 N. Jørgensen F
14 B. Basaçikoglu M
Bench (11)
11 E. Elia
5 M. Vejinovic
15 L. Woudenberg
18 M. Nelom
19 S. Berghuis
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
26 B. Nieuwkoop
27 Simon Gustafson
29 M. Kramer
30 P. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Marzo D
5 L. Bijker D
4 J. van Aken D
16 J. St. Juste D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
11 S. Larsson F
13 A. Zeneli F
Bench (9)
22 C. Cavlan
20 H. Veerman
7 L. Slagveer
10 S. Thern
18 Y. Namli
25 W. Huizing
31 J. Bekkema
33 W. van der Steen
37 M. Vlap

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.