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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
FC Koln
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Dortmund
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
46%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
54%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

26% Possession 74%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
26 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Dortmund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 13 10 3 0 +18 33
2 Bayern Munich 13 9 3 1 +20 30
3 Hertha 13 8 3 2 +9 27
4 Hoffenheim 14 6 8 0 +11 26
5 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Dortmund 13 7 3 3 +16 24
7 FC Koln 13 6 4 3 +6 22
8 Schalke 04 13 5 2 6 +3 17
9 Leverkusen 13 5 2 6 -1 17
10 Mainz 13 5 2 6 -2 17
11 Freiburg 13 5 1 7 -8 16
12 Augsburg 13 3 5 5 -4 14
13 M'gladbach 13 3 4 6 -9 13
14 Werder Bremen 13 3 2 8 -15 11
15 Wolfsburg 13 2 4 7 -6 10
16 Darmstadt 13 2 2 9 -15 8
17 Hamburg 13 1 4 8 -17 7
18 FC Ingolstadt 04 13 1 3 9 -14 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Dortmund
-3′
🟨 Ousmane Dembélé
27′
🔁 Bartra
↦ Ł. Piszczek
28′
🟨 Marcel Schmelzer
1–0 A. Rudņevs
J. Hector
28′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 S. Rode
↦ G. Castro
Dominique Heintz 🟨
54′
60′
🟨 Sokratis
Salih Özcan 🟨
65′
Marco Höger 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 A. Ramos
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
K. Rausch 🔁
↦ A. Rudņevs
76′
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ A. Modeste
87′
Salih Özcan 🟨
90′
Salih Özcan 🟥
90′
90′
M. Reus 1–1
A. Ramos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
18 T. Kessler G
15 M. Mavraj D
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
6 M. Höger M
20 S. Özcan M
27 A. Modeste F
9 A. Rudņevs F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
34 K. Rausch
19 S. Guirassy
8 M. Jojić
24 L. Klünter
25 F. Mladenović
30 M. Hartel
35 S. Müller

Coach: P. Stöger

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 R. Weidenfeller G
26 Ł. Piszczek D
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
37 E. Durm M
28 M. Ginter D
27 G. Castro M
33 J. Weigl M
7 O. Dembélé F
17 P. Aubameyang F
11 M. Reus M
Bench (7)
5 Bartra
18 S. Rode
20 A. Ramos
9 E. Mor
22 C. Pulisic
30 F. Passlack
39 H. Bonmann

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.