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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Heerenveen

U S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Vitesse

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 44%

55%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

82%

50%

Both score Ø 66%

64%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 4. · Vitesse 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	12	9	2	1	+21	29
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+15	27
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	7	4	1	+14	25
4	Heerenveen	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Twente	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	5	1	+6	17
7	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	4	4	+1	16
8	Vitesse	12	4	3	5	+1	15
9	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Den Haag	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Zwolle	12	3	4	5	-9	13
12	Heracles	12	2	6	4	-4	12
13	Nijmegen	12	2	6	4	-7	12
14	Go Ahead Eagles	12	3	2	7	-10	11
15	Excelsior	12	3	1	8	-9	10
16	Willem II	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Roda	12	1	6	5	-11	9
18	Groningen	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+12	14
2	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Twente	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	4	0	+4	10
7	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Go Ahead Eagles	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	PSV Eindhoven	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Zwolle	7	2	2	3	-6	8
11	Vitesse	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Nijmegen	7	1	4	2	-4	7
14	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Roda	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Feyenoord	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Heracles	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Roda	7	1	4	2	-6	7
11	Groningen	6	1	2	3	+0	5
12	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Go Ahead Eagles	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.