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Bundesliga

Referee: Markus Schmidt

FC Ingolstadt 04

T T S U T

1–0

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Ingolstadt 04 RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

77%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

38%

62%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

4 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Ingolstadt 04 18. · RB Leipzig 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	13	10	3	0	+18	33
2	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+20	30
3	Hertha	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Hoffenheim	14	6	8	0	+11	26
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Dortmund	13	7	3	3	+16	24
7	FC Koln	13	6	4	3	+6	22
8	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	+3	17
9	Leverkusen	13	5	2	6	-1	17
10	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-2	17
11	Freiburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
12	Augsburg	13	3	5	5	-4	14
13	M'gladbach	13	3	4	6	-9	13
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	2	8	-15	11
15	Wolfsburg	13	2	4	7	-6	10
16	Darmstadt	13	2	2	9	-15	8
17	Hamburg	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	1	3	9	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+13	17
4	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+7	16
5	Hoffenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
6	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	3	0	+4	15
7	FC Koln	6	4	2	0	+9	14
8	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+7	12
9	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Freiburg	6	4	0	2	-1	12
11	Leverkusen	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Mainz	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Werder Bremen	7	3	0	4	-2	9
14	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Augsburg	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Wolfsburg	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Hamburg	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Hoffenheim	7	2	5	0	+4	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	2	2	+4	11
5	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
6	Wolfsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Dortmund	6	2	1	3	+3	7
10	Mainz	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Leverkusen	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Hamburg	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Werder Bremen	6	0	2	4	-13	2
17	M'gladbach	6	0	1	5	-14	1
18	Darmstadt	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.