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Primeira Liga
Referee: Antonio Jorge Ferreira Goncalves
Belenenses
T T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Maritimo
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
25%
8%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
24 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 11. · Maritimo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 12 9 2 1 +20 29
2 Sp Lisbon 12 8 3 1 +13 27
3 Porto 12 7 4 1 +15 25
4 Sp Braga 12 7 2 3 +9 23
5 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Rio Ave 12 5 2 5 -1 17
7 Maritimo 12 5 2 5 -2 17
8 Chaves 12 3 7 2 +1 16
9 Vitoria Setubal 13 4 4 5 -1 16
10 Estoril 13 4 3 6 -5 15
11 Belenenses 12 3 5 4 -4 14
12 Arouca 12 4 2 6 -6 14
13 Pacos Ferreira 12 3 4 5 -3 13
14 Boavista 12 3 4 5 -3 13
15 Moreirense 12 3 2 7 -7 11
16 Feirense 12 3 2 7 -14 11
17 Tondela 12 2 3 7 -9 9
18 Nacional 12 2 2 8 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.