Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nancy
Angers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | +37 | 39 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 39 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +19 | 35 |
| 4 |
Rennes
|
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 27 |
| 5 |
Guingamp
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 7 |
Marseille
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 24 |
| 8 |
Bordeaux
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 |
St Etienne
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 |
Montpellier
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 |
Metz
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 18 |
| 14 |
Lille
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 |
Dijon
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |
Nancy
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 17 |
Caen
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 |
Bastia
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 |
Nantes
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -17 | 13 |
| 20 |
Lorient
|
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Marseille
Nancy
Nancy
Metz
Montpellier
Nancy
Nancy
Dijon
Monaco
Nancy
Sébastien Desiage · 31 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.