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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Sociedad

S S S U T

3–2

Full-time

Valencia

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

50%

21%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 68%

50%

86%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Valencia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+25	34
2	Barcelona	15	9	4	2	+22	31
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Ath Madrid	14	7	4	3	+17	25
5	Villarreal	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Sociedad	14	7	2	5	+4	23
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Malaga	15	5	6	4	+2	21
9	Eibar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
11	Las Palmas	14	5	5	4	+3	20
12	Espanol	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Alaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Betis	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	Leganes	14	4	2	8	-14	14
16	La Coruna	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Sp Gijon	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Granada	15	1	6	8	-17	9
20	Osasuna	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Las Palmas	7	4	3	0	+8	15
8	Celta	7	5	0	2	+3	15
9	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+11	14
10	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
12	La Coruna	7	3	1	3	+3	10
13	Sp Gijon	7	3	1	3	-4	10
14	Betis	7	2	3	2	-3	9
15	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Alaves	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Sociedad	7	3	0	4	-2	9
8	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-8	9
9	Villarreal	7	1	4	2	+0	7
10	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
14	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Las Palmas	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Malaga	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Granada	8	0	3	5	-15	3
20	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.