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Ligue 1

Referee: Johan Hamel

Monaco

U S U S S

4–0

Full-time

Dijon

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 51%

64%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

68%

79%

Both score Ø 62%

52%

71%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

2,4

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 2. · Dijon 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	21	2	2	+59	65
2	Monaco	25	16	5	4	+34	53
3	Marseille	25	15	7	3	+26	52
4	Lyon	25	14	6	5	+24	48
5	Nantes	25	11	5	9	+0	38
6	Montpellier	25	9	10	6	+3	37
7	Bordeaux	25	10	5	10	-2	35
8	Rennes	25	10	4	11	-3	34
9	Nice	25	10	4	11	-6	34
10	Guingamp	25	9	6	10	-7	33
11	Caen	25	9	4	12	-10	31
12	Dijon	24	9	4	11	-12	31
13	Strasbourg	25	8	6	11	-12	30
14	St Etienne	25	8	6	11	-14	30
15	Toulouse	25	7	5	13	-11	26
16	Lille	25	7	5	13	-16	26
17	Amiens	25	7	4	14	-8	25
18	Angers	25	5	10	10	-11	25
19	Troyes	24	7	3	14	-11	24
20	Metz	25	5	3	17	-23	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+39	36
2	Monaco	13	10	2	1	+22	32
3	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+19	27
4	Dijon	13	8	2	3	+7	26
5	Lyon	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Nice	13	7	1	5	+2	22
7	Strasbourg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	+4	20
9	Bordeaux	12	6	2	4	+2	20
10	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Nantes	12	6	2	4	+2	20
12	St Etienne	13	5	5	3	-1	20
13	Caen	13	6	2	5	-1	20
14	Toulouse	12	5	3	4	+2	18
15	Amiens	12	5	2	5	+2	17
16	Troyes	12	5	2	5	+0	17
17	Rennes	12	5	1	6	-4	16
18	Lille	12	4	3	5	-4	15
19	Angers	12	3	4	5	-8	13
20	Metz	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+20	29
2	Lyon	13	8	2	3	+16	26
3	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Monaco	12	6	3	3	+12	21
5	Rennes	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Nantes	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Montpellier	12	4	5	3	-1	17
8	Bordeaux	13	4	3	6	-4	15
9	Guingamp	12	4	1	7	-9	13
10	Angers	13	2	6	5	-3	12
11	Nice	12	3	3	6	-8	12
12	Caen	12	3	2	7	-9	11
13	Lille	13	3	2	8	-12	11
14	St Etienne	12	3	1	8	-13	10
15	Strasbourg	12	2	3	7	-14	9
16	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-10	8
17	Metz	12	2	2	8	-12	8
18	Toulouse	13	2	2	9	-13	8
19	Troyes	12	2	1	9	-11	7
20	Dijon	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.