Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Monaco
Rennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 24 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |
Montpellier
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |
St Etienne
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Bordeaux
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |
Marseille
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |
Toulouse
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Angers
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Nice
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |
Caen
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |
Nimes
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dijon
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Reims
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |
Rennes
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monaco
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 19 |
Nantes
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 |
Guingamp
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Glik
D
D. Sidibé
D
B. Henrichs
D
A. Golovin
M
Y. Tielemans
M
M. Sylla
F
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
H. Traoré
D
R. Bensebaini
D
B. André
M
R. Del Castillo
M
I. Sarr
M
Coach: S. Lamouchi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Etienne
Monaco
Monaco
Angers
Monaco
Nimes
Toulouse
Monaco
Monaco
Marseille
O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.