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Ligue 1
Referee: O Thual
Monaco
T U U T T
1–2
Full-time
Rennes
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 18. · Rennes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 Lille 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Montpellier 9 4 4 1 +5 16
4 St Etienne 9 4 3 2 -1 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 +7 14
6 Bordeaux 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 Marseille 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Toulouse 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Strasbourg 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Angers 9 3 2 4 -1 11
11 Nice 9 3 2 4 -6 11
12 Caen 8 2 4 2 -1 10
13 Amiens 9 3 1 5 -2 10
14 Nimes 9 2 4 3 -3 10
15 Dijon 9 3 1 5 -4 10
16 Reims 9 2 4 3 -5 10
17 Rennes 8 2 2 4 -3 8
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Guingamp 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Rennes
14′
D. Da Silva 0–1
H. Ben Arfa
Andrea Raggi 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–1
N. Chadli 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
46′
1–1 R. Falcao
A. Golovin
49′
Jemerson 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ M. Zeffane
63′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ R. Del Castillo
Youri Tielemans 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Damien Da Silva
Kamil Glik 🟨
75′
77′
H. Ben Arfa 1–2
M. Niang
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
78′
Aleksandr Golovin 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 J. Johansson
↦ I. Sarr
Djibril Sidibé 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Monaco

3-4-1-2
1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
39 B. Henrichs D
5 Jemerson D
4 J. Aholou M
17 A. Golovin M
8 Y. Tielemans M
34 M. Sylla F
9 R. Falcao F
Bench (7)
20 N. Chadli
10 S. Jovetić
6 K. N'Doram
15 Y. Aït Bennasser
29 S. Grandsir
30 S. Sy
36 S. Diop

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Rennes

4-4-2
16 A. Diallo G
3 D. Da Silva D
4 Mexer D
2 M. Zeffane D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
8 C. Grenier M
21 B. André M
22 R. Del Castillo M
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
11 M. Niang
14 B. Bourigeaud
6 J. Johansson
10 R. Guitane
12 J. Lea Siliki
28 D. Poha
40 T. Koubek

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.