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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Amiens
S S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 57%
31%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
29%
74%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
51%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,9
3,0
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
12 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 13
5 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 13. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 35 29 4 2 +81 91
2 Lyon 35 21 9 5 +41 72
3 Monaco 35 21 8 6 +35 71
4 Marseille 35 20 10 5 +31 70
5 St Etienne 35 14 10 11 -5 52
6 Rennes 35 14 9 12 +3 51
7 Nice 35 14 9 12 +0 51
8 Montpellier 35 10 16 9 +1 46
9 Bordeaux 35 13 7 15 -3 46
10 Nantes 35 12 10 13 -6 46
11 Guingamp 35 12 10 13 -8 46
12 Dijon 35 11 9 15 -20 42
13 Amiens 35 11 8 16 -6 41
14 Angers 35 8 14 13 -8 38
15 Caen 35 10 7 18 -21 37
16 Strasbourg 35 8 11 16 -22 35
17 Toulouse 35 8 10 17 -14 34
18 Troyes 35 9 5 21 -21 32
19 Lille 35 8 8 19 -23 32
20 Metz 35 6 8 21 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -17 Paris SG – Amiens 2–0

Match report

Amiens Paris SG
26′
E. Cavani 0–1
J. Pastore
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Konaté
T. Monconduit
47′
Bongani Zungu 🟨
59′
64′
C. Nkunku 1–2
T. Motta
S. Gakpé 🔁
↦ Q. Cornette
66′
G. Fofana 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
74′
78′
🔁 A. Rabiot
↦ T. Motta
2–2 M. Konaté
G. Kakuta
80′
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ H. Manzala
81′
Guessouma Fofana 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 K. Mbappé
↦ C. Nkunku
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
3 K. Adénon D
35 Danilo Avelar D
25 I. Cissokho D
12 B. Dibassy D
6 T. Monconduit M
7 H. Manzala M
34 B. Zungu M
14 G. Kakuta M
15 M. Konaté F
13 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
37 S. Gakpé
8 G. Fofana
24 M. Bodmer
10 E. Bourgaud
16 J. Bouet
19 O. El Hajjam
23 J. Ielsch

Coach: C. Pélissier

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
12 T. Meunier D
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
8 T. Motta M
11 Á. Di María F
27 J. Pastore M
24 C. Nkunku M
18 G. Lo Celso M
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
25 A. Rabiot
29 K. Mbappé
33 K. Rimane
1 K. Trapp
17 Yuri
19 L. Diarra
32 Dani Alves

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.