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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Paris SG

U S S S S

4–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

100%

25%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,3

1,3

Scored

3,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · St Etienne 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Dijon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	-1	9
4	Lille	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nice	5	2	1	2	-3	7
9	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	St Etienne	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Nimes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Reims	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Caen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Amiens	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Bordeaux	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Guingamp	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Reims	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.