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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Nice

T S S T S

0–3

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,5

Scored

1,0

3,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

43%

100%

Points per game

1,4

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

43%

100%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,1

4,3

Scored

0,9

3,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 6

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 11. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+18	21
2	St Etienne	8	4	3	1	+1	15
3	Lyon	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Lille	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Toulouse	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Angers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Dijon	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Bordeaux	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Nice	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	Nimes	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Strasbourg	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Reims	7	2	2	3	-5	8
15	Amiens	7	2	1	4	-2	7
16	Caen	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Rennes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	Monaco	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Guingamp	7	0	1	6	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Angers	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Reims	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Caen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Montpellier	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Angers	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	-3	5
8	Lyon	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Lille	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Reims	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Marseille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Guingamp	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.