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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Pazdecki

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olimpia Elbląg 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Kalisz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
33 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
34 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
38 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Środa Motor Lublin
10′
M. Gąsior 0–1
23′
B. Zbiciak 0–2
P. Wujec 🟨
37′
44′
🟨 J. Staszak
Half-time 0–2
K. Pawlak 🔁
↦ A. Kluczyński
46′
46′
🔁 J. Szuta
↦ M. Król
46′
🔁 J. Lis
↦ E. Kahsay
55′
🟨 J. Lis
62′
🔁 A. Bednarczyk
↦ P. Kusiński
F. Łasocha 🔁
↦ M. Witkowski
65′
69′
🟨 S. Rudol
72′
🔁 D. Sędzikowski
↦ M. Gąsior
72′
🔁 L. Jagodziński
↦ M. Kosior
K. Maślanka 🔁
↦ M. Walczak
77′
K. Michalak 🔁
↦ K. Milachowski
77′
83′
🟨 A. Bednarczyk
87′
🟨 L. Jagodzinski
A. Kultys 🔁
↦ D. Buczma
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Polonia Środa

P. Frackowiak
P. Skrobosiński
P. Wujec
K. Milachowski
M. Walczak
D. Buczma
B. Bartkowiak
J. Gielda
M. Witkowski
A. Kluczyński
J. Drame
Bench (9)
K. Pawlak
F. Łasocha
K. Maślanka
K. Michalak
A. Kultys
H. Kaźmierczak
M. Janczar
O. Matoszko
O. Janoś

Coach: P. Juszczyk

Motor Lublin

M. Furman
S. Rudol
P. Szarek
F. Wójcik
M. Król
J. Staszak
B. Zbiciak
M. Gąsior
P. Kusiński
E. Kahsay
M. Kosior
Bench (9)
J. Szuta
J. Lis
A. Bednarczyk
D. Sędzikowski
L. Jagodziński
A. Najemski
M. Rybicki
P. Budzyński
S. Chomicz

Coach: S. Szpyrka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.