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Puchar Polski

Referee: Ł Szczech

Kalisz

5–5

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalisz Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

4,0

1,3

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Radunia Stężyca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ruch Chorzow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kalisz Widzew Lodz

1–0 Néstor Gordillo ⚽

12′

2–0 F. Kendzia ⚽

21′

3–0 Néstor Gordillo ⚽

22′

26′

🟨 J. Sanchez

41′

⚽ Jordi Sánchez 3–1

K. Lipkowski 🔁

↦ W. Smoliński

44′

Half-time 3–1

46′

🔁 J. Letniowski

↦ P. Lipski

46′

🔁 M. Kreuzriegler

↦ B. Czorbadżijski

55′

⚽ Jordi Sánchez 3–2

64′

🔁 D. Kun

↦ K. Hansen

64′

🔁 M. Miloš

↦ K. Danielak

D. Kamiński 🔁

↦ K. Koczy

72′

J. Wilczyński 🔁

↦ P. Giel

72′

76′

🔁 Ł. Zjawiński

↦ J. Sypek

77′

🟨 D. Kun

J. Wilczynski 🟨

80′

P. Zmorzyński 🔁

↦ Néstor Gordillo

83′

92′

⚽ M. Hanousek 3–3

104′

🟨 M. Milos

J. Glaz 🟨

106′

J. Głaz 🔁

↦ N. Zawistowski

106′

4–3 M. Gawlik ⚽

106′

108′

⚽ M. Hanousek 4–4

117′

🟨 F. Nunes

5–4 M. Gawlik ⚽

118′

122′

⚽ Ł. Zjawiński 5–5

Full-time 5–5

Line-ups

Kalisz

M. Krakowiak

M. Gawlik

F. Kendzia

W. Smoliński

A. Łuszkiewicz

M. Borecki

Néstor Gordillo

N. Zawistowski

K. Koczy

M. Wysokiński

P. Giel

Bench (9)

K. Lipkowski

D. Kamiński

J. Wilczyński

P. Zmorzyński

J. Głaz

K. Dudek

M. Górski

P. Soboczyński

W. Staszak

Coach: B. Tarachulski

Widzew Lodz

H. Ravas

Fábio Nunes

B. Czorbadżijski

M. Żyro

S. Szota

M. Hanousek

K. Danielak

P. Lipski

J. Sypek

K. Hansen

Jordi Sánchez

Bench (9)

J. Letniowski

M. Kreuzriegler

D. Kun

M. Miloš

Ł. Zjawiński

F. Zawadzki

P. Stępiński

P. Zieliński

V. Lytvynenko

Coach: J. Niedźwiedź

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

27. Jul CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Kalisz

Widzew Lodz

Odds comparison

Recent matches