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Puchar Polski
Referee: S Łężny

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Motor Lublin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Pogoń Siedlce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Radunia Stężyca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Olimpia Elbląg 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Kalisz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Slask Wroclaw 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Jastrzębie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Legia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Korona Kielce 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.