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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Nielsen

Culpa

0–3

Full-time

Roskilde

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Culpa Roskilde

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

This season — DBU Pokalen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Culpa 34. · Roskilde 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
13	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
16	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
17	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
44	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
49	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
87	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
88	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
89	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
90	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Frederikshavn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Culpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
48	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
50	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
52	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
53	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
14	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

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B ✓

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

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O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

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U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

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BLS nei ✓

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Recent matches

8. Aug POK 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

Recent matches