Puchar Polski
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Pogoń Siedlce
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olimpia Elbląg
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 2 |
Stal Rzeszów
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |
Wisla
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 4 |
Kalisz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Zaglebie
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Jastrzębie
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 |
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |
Radomiak Radom
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Motor Lublin
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Chojniczanka Chojnice
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Chrobry Głogów
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Pogoń Siedlce
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Radunia Stężyca
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Legia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Puszcza
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Lechia Zielona Góra
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Korona Kielce
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Garbarnia Kraków
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Lech Poznań II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Wisła Puławy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Nieciecza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Stal Stalowa Wola
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Podbeskidzie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Wikielec
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Śląsk Wrocław II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
Hutnik Kraków
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
Stomil Olsztyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Znicz Pruszków
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Sokół Ostróda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Chełmianka Chełm
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Radomsko
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Bałtyk Gdynia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 |
Wigry Suwałki
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 37 |
Start Jełowa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 38 |
Legia Warszawa II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.