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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Udinese
T T T S T
2–3
Full-time
Torino
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 15. · Torino 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Napoli 4 4 0 0 +13 12
3 Juventus 4 4 0 0 +10 12
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Roma 4 3 0 1 +6 9
6 Milan 4 3 0 1 +2 9
7 Torino 4 2 2 0 +4 8
8 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Fiorentina 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Cagliari 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Bologna 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Atalanta 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Chievo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Spal 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Genoa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Sassuolo 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Verona 4 0 1 3 -10 1
20 Benevento 5 0 0 5 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Torino
7′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
9′
A. Belotti 0–1
27′
🟨 Cristian Ansaldi
30′
E. Hallfreðsson 1–1
own goal
Emil Hallfreðsson 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–1
G. Angella 🔁
↦ Danilo
46′
J. Jankto 🔁
↦ E. Hallfreðsson
46′
48′
🟨 Adem Ljajić
2–1 R. de Paul
48′
54′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
67′
A. Ljajić 2–2
Ali Adnan 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
70′
3–2 K. Lasagna
75′
76′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ M. Niang
80′
🟨 Álex Berenguer
88′
🔁 L. Boyé
↦ Iago Falqué
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
22 S. Scuffet G
5 Danilo D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
97 G. Pezzella M
23 E. Hallfreðsson M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
72 A. Barák M
20 M. López F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
4 G. Angella
14 J. Jankto
53 Ali Adnan
1 A. Bizzarri
3 Samir
7 Ryder Matos
9 R. Bajić
13 S. Ingelsson
25 D. Borsellini
85 V. Behrami
96 Ewandro
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Torino

4-2-3-1
39 S. Sirigu G
3 C. Molinaro D
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
97 Lyanco D
88 T. Rincón M
8 D. Baselli M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
11 M. Niang F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
21 Álex Berenguer
31 L. Boyé
1 S. Ichazo
5 M. Valdifiori
13 N. Burdisso
16 Samuel Gustafson
19 M. De Luca
20 S. Edera
24 E. Moretti
29 L. De Silvestri
32 V. Savić
99 U. Sadiq

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.