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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento
Udinese
T T T S S
2–2
Full-time
Torino
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
70%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Torino 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 9 0 2 +15 27
2 Roma 11 7 2 2 +14 23
3 Milan 11 7 1 3 +3 22
4 Lazio 11 6 3 2 +10 21
5 Napoli 11 6 2 3 +8 20
6 Atalanta 11 6 1 4 +3 19
7 Fiorentina 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Torino 10 4 3 3 +7 15
9 Genoa 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Chievo 11 4 3 4 -1 15
11 Inter 11 4 2 5 -1 14
12 Sampdoria 11 4 2 5 -4 14
13 Udinese 10 4 1 5 -3 13
14 Bologna 11 3 4 4 -4 13
15 Sassuolo 11 4 1 6 -5 13
16 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 -6 13
17 Pescara 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Empoli 11 1 4 6 -11 7
19 Palermo 10 1 3 6 -12 6
20 Crotone 11 1 2 8 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Torino
15′
M. Benassi 0–1
A. Belotti
20′
🟨 Lucas Boyé
29′
🟨 Mirko Valdifiori
Danilo 🟨
35′
39′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
Half-time 0–1
S. Perica 🔁
↦ S. Kums
46′
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ R. de Paul
46′
47′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ M. Valdifiori
1–1 C. Théréau
S. Widmer
60′
65′
🔁 M. López
↦ L. Boyé
2–1 D. Zapata
70′
Duván Zapata 🟨
71′
E. Agyemang-Badu 🔁
↦ J. Jankto
74′
77′
A. Ljajić 2–2
L. De Silvestri
81′
🔁 D. Zappacosta
↦ L. De Silvestri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
1 O. Karnezis G
30 Felipe D
5 Danilo D
2 M. Wagué D
26 S. Kums M
27 S. Widmer M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
77 C. Théréau F
9 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
18 S. Perica
23 E. Hallfreðsson
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
3 Samir
4 G. Angella
19 Ryder Matos
22 S. Scuffet
25 S. Perisan
53 Ali Adnan
75 T. Heurtaux
95 Lucas Evangelista
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
13 L. Rossettini D
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
25 S. Lukić
11 M. López
7 D. Zappacosta
1 D. Padelli
5 C. Bovo
6 A. Acquah
14 Iago Falqué
17 J. Martínez
20 G. Vives
22 J. Obi
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.