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Championship
Referee: John Brooks
Rotherham
U U U U U
3–2
Full-time
Blackburn
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Championship · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 24%
15%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 61%
62%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 22. · Blackburn 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 34 19 9 6 +24 66
2 Sheffield United 34 19 7 8 +25 64
3 Leeds 33 18 7 8 +16 61
4 Middlesbrough 33 15 12 6 +14 57
5 West Brom 33 16 8 9 +18 56
6 Bristol City 33 15 8 10 +8 53
7 Derby 31 14 9 8 +10 51
8 Birmingham 34 12 14 8 +10 50
9 Nott'm Forest 34 12 14 8 +9 50
10 Preston 34 12 11 11 +5 47
11 Hull 34 13 8 13 +0 47
12 Sheffield Weds 34 12 11 11 -7 47
13 Aston Villa 32 10 14 8 +6 44
14 Swansea 33 12 8 13 +1 44
15 Blackburn 34 11 11 12 -7 44
16 Brentford 33 11 10 12 +9 43
17 QPR 34 12 6 16 -10 42
18 Stoke 34 9 14 11 -7 41
19 Wigan 33 9 8 16 -14 35
20 Millwall 34 8 10 16 -13 34
21 Reading 34 6 12 16 -15 30
22 Rotherham 34 5 15 14 -20 30
23 Bolton 34 6 8 20 -31 26
24 Ipswich 34 3 12 19 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Blackburn
1–0 S. Ajayi
W. Vaulks
2′
8′
🟨 Richard Smallwood
Clark Robertson 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
R. Williams 🔁
↦ A. Forde
46′
46′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ R. Smallwood
Joe Mattock 🟨
50′
51′
A. Bell 1–1
B. Wiles 🔁
↦ R. Towell
54′
2–1 R. Williams
57′
M. Crooks 🔁
↦ J. Taylor
79′
79′
🔁 J. Nuttall
↦ A. Armstrong
3–1 S. Ajayi
W. Vaulks
83′
Michael Ihiekwe 🟨
90′
93′
C. Mulgrew 3–2
94′
🔁 H. Reed
↦ E. Bennett
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rotherham

4-1-4-1
1 M. Rodák G
28 B. Jones D
3 J. Mattock D
15 C. Robertson D
5 S. Ajayi D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
13 R. Towell M
11 J. Taylor M
7 A. Forde M
4 W. Vaulks M
24 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
23 R. Williams
25 B. Wiles
17 M. Crooks
22 J. Newell
6 R. Wood
21 J. Yates
12 L. Price

Coach: P. Warne

Blackburn

3-4-2-1
1 David Raya G
14 C. Mulgrew D
17 A. Bell D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
5 J. Rodwell D
31 E. Bennett M
6 R. Smallwood M
23 B. Dack M
10 D. Graham F
7 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
8 J. Rothwell
24 J. Nuttall
4 H. Reed
19 B. Brereton
32 C. Conway
29 C. Evans
13 J. Leutwiler

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.