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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Zwayer

M'gladbach

S S T U T

1–5

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 64%

57%

70%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

61%

74%

Both score Ø 52%

43%

61%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 14

5 Blocked shots 3

9 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 4. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	24	16	6	2	+31	54
2	Bayern Munich	23	16	3	4	+25	51
3	RB Leipzig	24	13	6	5	+23	45
4	M'gladbach	23	13	4	6	+17	43
5	Ein Frankfurt	24	11	7	6	+17	40
6	Leverkusen	24	12	3	9	+8	39
7	Wolfsburg	23	11	5	7	+8	38
8	Hertha	24	9	8	7	+3	35
9	Hoffenheim	24	8	10	6	+11	34
10	Werder Bremen	23	8	8	7	+4	32
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	9	4	11	-11	31
12	Mainz	24	8	6	10	-11	30
13	Freiburg	24	6	9	9	-6	27
14	Schalke 04	24	6	5	13	-14	23
15	Augsburg	24	5	6	13	-12	21
16	Stuttgart	23	4	4	15	-32	16
17	Hannover	23	3	5	15	-30	14
18	Nurnberg	24	2	7	15	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	10	2	0	+23	32
2	M'gladbach	11	9	0	2	+16	27
3	RB Leipzig	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Bayern Munich	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	Leverkusen	12	7	1	4	+4	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Hertha	12	5	5	2	+3	20
8	Mainz	12	5	4	3	+1	19
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	0	6	-1	18
10	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+6	17
11	Freiburg	12	4	5	3	+4	17
12	Werder Bremen	12	4	5	3	+3	17
13	Wolfsburg	11	4	3	4	-1	15
14	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	+1	13
15	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-7	13
16	Nurnberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
17	Stuttgart	11	3	2	6	-12	11
18	Hannover	12	3	1	8	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	0	3	+14	27
2	Wolfsburg	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Dortmund	12	6	4	2	+8	22
4	RB Leipzig	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+6	19
6	Hoffenheim	12	4	5	3	+5	17
7	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	+4	17
8	M'gladbach	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Werder Bremen	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Hertha	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	-10	13
12	Mainz	12	3	2	7	-12	11
13	Schalke 04	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Freiburg	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Augsburg	12	2	2	8	-13	8
16	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-20	5
17	Hannover	11	0	4	7	-18	4
18	Nurnberg	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.