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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Excelsior

S S T S U

0–2

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 54%

30%

78%

Points per game

1,1

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

70%

87%

Both score Ø 57%

61%

52%

Average goals

3,7

3,9

Scored

1,4

3,2

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	23	18	4	1	+58	58
2	Ajax	23	18	2	3	+62	56
3	Feyenoord	23	13	4	6	+19	43
4	AZ Alkmaar	23	12	4	7	+19	40
5	Heracles	22	11	2	9	+1	35
6	Vitesse	20	8	6	6	+5	30
7	Utrecht	21	8	6	7	+2	30
8	VVV Venlo	23	8	5	10	-11	29
9	Willem II	23	8	4	11	-7	28
10	Den Haag	24	7	7	10	-15	28
11	Heerenveen	23	6	9	8	-3	27
12	For Sittard	23	7	5	11	-14	26
13	Excelsior	23	7	5	11	-22	26
14	Groningen	21	7	4	10	-2	25
15	Zwolle	23	7	4	12	-12	25
16	FC Emmen	23	6	6	11	-24	24
17	De Graafschap	24	6	4	14	-26	22
18	NAC Breda	23	4	5	14	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	1	0	+40	34
2	Feyenoord	11	10	0	1	+21	30
3	Ajax	11	9	2	0	+41	29
4	Heracles	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	3	2	+15	21
6	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+8	18
7	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	For Sittard	12	5	3	4	+4	18
9	Vitesse	9	5	3	1	+4	18
10	Excelsior	12	5	3	4	-6	18
11	De Graafschap	13	5	2	6	+0	17
12	NAC Breda	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Den Haag	12	4	3	5	-9	15
14	Groningen	10	4	1	5	+3	13
15	Willem II	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Zwolle	12	3	2	7	-7	11
17	FC Emmen	12	2	4	6	-10	10
18	Heerenveen	11	1	5	5	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	0	3	+21	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+18	24
3	Heerenveen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+4	19
5	Willem II	12	5	2	5	-3	17
6	Zwolle	11	4	2	5	-5	14
7	FC Emmen	11	4	2	5	-14	14
8	Feyenoord	12	3	4	5	-2	13
9	Den Haag	12	3	4	5	-6	13
10	Vitesse	11	3	3	5	+1	12
11	Groningen	11	3	3	5	-5	12
12	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Heracles	11	3	2	6	-12	11
14	VVV Venlo	12	3	2	7	-17	11
15	Excelsior	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	For Sittard	11	2	2	7	-18	8
17	De Graafschap	11	1	2	8	-26	5
18	NAC Breda	11	0	2	9	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.