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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Valladolid
T U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Villarreal
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
27%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 14. · Villarreal 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 15 5 2 +37 50
2 Ath Madrid 22 12 8 2 +18 44
3 Real Madrid 22 13 3 6 +11 42
4 Sevilla 22 10 6 6 +13 36
5 Getafe 22 8 8 6 +7 32
6 Betis 22 9 5 8 +0 32
7 Alaves 22 9 5 8 -5 32
8 Valencia 22 6 12 4 +4 30
9 Sociedad 22 8 6 8 +2 30
10 Eibar 22 7 8 7 -1 29
11 Levante 22 7 6 9 -8 27
12 Ath Bilbao 22 5 11 6 -5 26
13 Leganes 22 6 8 8 -5 26
14 Valladolid 22 6 7 9 -9 25
15 Espanol 22 7 4 11 -11 25
16 Celta 22 6 6 10 -2 24
17 Girona 22 5 9 8 -8 24
18 Vallecano 22 6 5 11 -12 23
19 Villarreal 22 3 10 9 -8 19
20 Huesca 22 3 6 13 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Villarreal
Oscar Plano 🟨
8′
29′
🟨 Ramiro Funes Mori
42′
🟨 Santi Cazorla
Half-time 0–0
Ruben Alcaraz 🟨
56′
Pablo Hervias 🟨
65′
Antoñito 🔁
↦ Javi Moyano
67′
72′
🔁 C. Bacca
↦ Pablo Fornals
D. Verde 🔁
↦ Pablo Hervías
81′
81′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
88′
🔁 Jaume Costa
↦ D. Bonera
Borja Fernández 🔁
↦ Keko
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
4 Kiko Olivas D
22 Nacho Martínez D
21 Míchel M
24 Keko M
15 Pablo Hervías M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
2 Joaquín Fernández D
10 Óscar Plano M
12 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (7)
18 Antoñito
11 D. Verde
8 Borja Fernández
9 E. Ünal
13 Yoel
19 Toni Suárez
23 Anuar Tuhami

Coach: Sergio

Villarreal

3-1-4-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
23 D. Bonera D
4 Ramiro Funes Mori D
3 Álvaro González D
15 Miguelón Llambrich D
19 Santi Cazorla M
10 Vicente Iborra M
16 Alfonso Pedraza M
8 Pablo Fornals M
7 Gerard Moreno F
17 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
9 C. Bacca
30 S. Chukwueze
11 Jaume Costa
2 Mario Gaspar
13 Andrés Fernández
18 Javi Fuego
28 Manu Morlanes

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.