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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Real Madrid

T T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Valencia

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

46%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

54%

15%

Both score Ø 42%

46%

38%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 7. · Valencia 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	13	8	2	3	+11	26
2	Barcelona	13	7	4	2	+16	25
3	Ath Madrid	13	6	6	1	+8	24
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Espanol	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Getafe	14	5	5	4	+4	20
7	Real Madrid	13	6	2	5	+1	20
8	Girona	13	5	5	3	+1	20
9	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
11	Eibar	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Celta	14	4	5	5	+3	17
13	Valencia	13	3	8	2	+2	17
14	Valladolid	14	4	5	5	-3	17
15	Leganes	14	4	4	6	-4	16
16	Betis	13	4	4	5	-4	16
17	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	-1	14
18	Ath Bilbao	13	1	8	4	-6	11
19	Vallecano	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Huesca	14	1	4	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
5	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Celta	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
6	Getafe	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Leganes	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.