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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Lille

S S T U T

2–2

Full-time

Lyon

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

28% Possession 72%

13 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 4. · Lyon 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+39	42
2	Lyon	14	8	3	3	+8	27
3	Montpellier	14	7	5	2	+12	26
4	Lille	14	8	2	4	+9	26
5	St Etienne	15	7	5	3	+4	26
6	Marseille	14	8	1	5	+5	25
7	Nice	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Reims	14	5	5	4	-3	20
9	Strasbourg	14	4	6	4	+3	18
10	Nantes	15	4	5	6	-1	17
11	Nimes	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	Bordeaux	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Rennes	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Angers	14	4	4	6	-2	16
15	Toulouse	14	3	5	6	-11	14
16	Amiens	14	4	1	9	-10	13
17	Caen	14	2	6	6	-6	12
18	Dijon	14	3	3	8	-11	12
19	Monaco	14	2	4	8	-9	10
20	Guingamp	14	1	4	9	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+24	24
2	St Etienne	8	6	2	0	+10	20
3	Lille	7	6	1	0	+12	19
4	Lyon	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+11	16
6	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+8	15
7	Reims	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Strasbourg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Nantes	7	2	3	2	+6	9
11	Amiens	7	3	0	4	+0	9
12	Nice	7	3	0	4	-5	9
13	Angers	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Rennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Toulouse	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Caen	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	Nimes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Monaco	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Guingamp	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Nimes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Rennes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
7	Marseille	7	3	0	4	-6	9
8	Angers	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Dijon	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Reims	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Strasbourg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Monaco	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Lille	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	St Etienne	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Toulouse	7	1	3	3	-8	6
18	Caen	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Guingamp	8	1	2	5	-13	5
20	Amiens	7	1	1	5	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.