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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Waregem
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
81%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,9
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
2,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 13. · Oostende 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 16 7 6 3 +8 27
2 Charleroi 17 8 2 7 +4 26
3 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
4 Genk 11 7 3 1 +16 24
5 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
6 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
7 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
8 Cercle Brugge 17 6 4 7 -9 22
9 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
10 Kortrijk 16 5 4 7 -5 19
11 Oostende 16 5 3 8 -13 18
12 Eupen 16 5 1 10 -15 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -10 13
15 Beveren 16 1 8 7 -7 11
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Oostende
1–0 Hamdi Harbaoui
8′
39′
🟨 Nicolas Lombaerts
Davy de Fauw 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Fashion Sakala
Half-time 1–0
69′
🔁 Indy Boonen
↦ Fashion Sakala
Mikael Soisalo 🔁
↦ Mamadou Sylla
73′
Thomas Buffel 🔁
↦ Theo Bongonda
77′
Sandy Walsh 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 Sindrit Guri
↦ Aristote Nkaka
86′
Indy Boonen 1–1
Goran Milović
Henrik Bjørdal 🔁
↦ Nill De Pauw
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
3 Marvin Baudry D
23 Marco Burki D
14 Sandy Walsh D
22 Florian Tardieu M
19 Mamadou Sylla F
11 Nill De Pauw F
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
18 Erdin Demir
20 Henrik Bjørdal
5 Damien Marcq
17 Mikael Soisalo
7 Thomas Buffel
12 Chris Bedia

Coach: F. Dury

Oostende

3-4-3
1 Fabrice Ondoa G
5 Goran Milović D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
3 Laurens De Bock D
27 Brecht Capon D
14 Aristote Nkaka D
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
7 Fashion Sakala F
43 Sander Coopman M
9 Richairo Zivkovic F
55 Fernando Canesin F
Bench (7)
28 William Dutoit
33 Žarko Tomašević
25 Jelle Bataille
12 Emmanuel Banda
8 Francois Marquet
10 Sindrit Guri
11 Indy Boonen

Coach: G. Verheyen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.