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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Celta
T S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Huesca
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 16%
23%
8%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 70%
77%
62%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
6 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 15. · Huesca 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 13 8 2 3 +11 26
2 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
3 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Espanol 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Real Madrid 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Girona 13 5 5 3 +1 20
8 Sociedad 13 5 4 4 +2 19
9 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
10 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
11 Valencia 13 3 8 2 +2 17
12 Getafe 13 4 5 4 +1 17
13 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -1 17
14 Betis 13 4 4 5 -4 16
15 Celta 13 3 5 5 +1 14
16 Villarreal 13 3 5 5 -1 14
17 Leganes 13 3 4 6 -6 13
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 13 1 4 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Huesca
29′
🟨 Cucho Hernández
31′
🟨 Damian Musto
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
32′
37′
🟨 Xabier Etxeita
1–0 Iago Aspas
Hugo Mallo
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Aguilera
↦ Álex Gallar
46′
🔁 S. Gürler
↦ D. Musto
Rubén Blanco 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ David Ferreiro
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
63′
Fran Beltrán 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
76′
2–0 Iago Aspas
A. Hjulsager
77′
E. Mor 🔁
↦ Iago Aspas
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Juncà D
3 David Costas D
5 O. Yokuşlu M
21 Jozabed M
19 S. Boufal M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
16 A. Hjulsager
8 Fran Beltrán
7 E. Mor
1 Sergio Álvarez
20 Kevin Vázquez
22 G. Cabral
25 J. Alonso

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Huesca

4-2-3-1
25 A. Jovanović G
3 Etxeita D
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
15 Carlos Akapo D
23 D. Musto M
7 David Ferreiro M
6 Moi Gómez M
17 Christian Rivera M
11 Álex Gallar M
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
5 Aguilera
21 S. Gürler
19 E. Ávila
1 A. Werner
12 S. Longo
18 Pablo Ínsua
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.