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Ligue 1
Referee: O Thual
Monaco
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time
Montpellier
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
14%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 20
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 19. · Montpellier 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 14 0 0 +39 42
2 Lyon 15 8 4 3 +8 28
3 Lille 15 8 3 4 +9 27
4 Montpellier 14 7 5 2 +12 26
5 St Etienne 15 7 5 3 +4 26
6 Marseille 14 8 1 5 +5 25
7 Nice 14 7 2 5 -2 23
8 Reims 14 5 5 4 -3 20
9 Strasbourg 14 4 6 4 +3 18
10 Nantes 15 4 5 6 -1 17
11 Nimes 14 4 5 5 -1 17
12 Bordeaux 14 4 5 5 -1 17
13 Rennes 14 4 5 5 -3 17
14 Angers 14 4 4 6 -2 16
15 Toulouse 14 3 5 6 -11 14
16 Amiens 14 4 1 9 -10 13
17 Caen 14 2 6 6 -6 12
18 Dijon 14 3 3 8 -11 12
19 Monaco 14 2 4 8 -9 10
20 Guingamp 14 1 4 9 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Jan -18 Montpellier – Monaco 0–0 29. Sep -17 Monaco – Montpellier 1–1 7. Feb -17 Montpellier – Monaco 1–2 21. Oct -16 Monaco – Montpellier 6–2 14. May -16 Monaco – Montpellier 2–0

Match report

Monaco Montpellier
1–0 Y. Tielemans ⚽
B. Henrichs
42′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 S. Sambia
↦ A. Oyongo
Pelé 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
61′
73′
🔁 P. Škuletić
↦ D. Le Tallec
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ R. Falcao
75′
81′
⚽ G. Laborde 1–1
A. Delort
S. Diop 🔁
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
86′
86′
⚽ P. Škuletić 1–2
A. Delort
88′
🔁 F. Píriz
↦ A. Delort
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 D. Benaglio G
24 A. Raggi D
39 B. Henrichs D
5 Jemerson D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
32 B. Badiashile D
20 N. Chadli M
17 A. Golovin M
8 Y. Tielemans M
15 Y. Aït Bennasser M
9 R. Falcao F
Bench (7)
28 Pelé
34 M. Sylla
36 S. Diop
27 J. Panzo
40 L. Badiashile
42 H. Massengo
33 G. Biancone

Coach: T. Henry

Montpellier

3-4-2-1
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
5 Pedro Mendes D
8 A. Oyongo M
2 R. Aguilar M
14 D. Le Tallec M
25 F. Mollet M
13 E. Skhiri M
11 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
Bench (7)
6 S. Sambia
32 P. Škuletić
23 F. Píriz
15 B. Passi
19 S. Camara
30 J. Ligali
31 N. Cozza

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.