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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Real Madrid

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Valencia

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%

22 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 9. · Valencia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Leganes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Betis	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Betis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.