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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Benfica
U S T T S
4–0
Full-time
Feirense
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Feirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,9
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
15 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
6 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 4. · Feirense 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 10 8 0 2 +15 24
2 Sp Lisbon 10 7 1 2 +8 22
3 Sp Braga 10 6 3 1 +9 21
4 Benfica 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Rio Ave 10 5 3 2 +4 18
6 Vitoria Setubal 11 5 2 4 +3 17
7 Moreirense 10 5 1 4 -3 16
8 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Belenenses 11 3 6 2 +0 15
10 Santa Clara 11 4 2 5 +0 14
11 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
12 Aves 10 3 1 6 -4 10
13 Maritimo 11 3 1 7 -8 10
14 Tondela 10 2 3 5 -2 9
15 Feirense 10 2 3 5 -4 9
16 Boavista 10 2 3 5 -6 9
17 Nacional 10 2 3 5 -9 9
18 Chaves 10 2 1 7 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Feirense
Rafa Silva 🟨
4′
31′
🟨 Alphonse
35′
🟨 João Silva
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Gómez
↦ Sturgeon
Jonas 🟨
49′
1–0 Jonas
Álex Grimaldo
49′
1–1 Bruno Nascimento
own goal
57′
63′
🔁 Edinho
↦ K. Alphonse
2–1 Rafa Silva
68′
Gabriel 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
80′
H. Seferović 🔁
↦ Jonas
82′
84′
🔁 Marco Soares
↦ Luís Machado
F. Krovinović 🔁
↦ Pizzi
89′
3–1 H. Seferović
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-3-3
99 O. Vlachodimos G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
6 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
17 A. Živković M
27 Rafa Silva F
83 Gedson Fernandes M
10 Jonas F
Bench (7)
8 Gabriel
14 H. Seferović
20 F. Krovinović
1 M. Svilar
11 F. Cervi
16 Alfa Semedo
79 João Félix

Coach: Rui Vitória

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
3 Tiago Gomes D
14 Bruno Nascimento D
4 A. Briseño D
17 Cris M
10 Tiago Silva M
15 K. Alphonse M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
71 Sturgeon M
7 Luís Machado M
Bench (7)
11 B. Gómez
36 Edinho
60 Marco Soares
2 Diga
6 R. Miller
30 Bruno Brigido
70 João Tavares

Coach: Nuno Santos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.