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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Charleroi
T S T S S
3–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
75%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
7 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Cercle Brugge 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 16 7 6 3 +8 27
2 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
3 Genk 11 7 3 1 +16 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
5 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
6 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +10 23
7 Charleroi 16 7 2 7 +2 23
8 Cercle Brugge 16 6 4 6 -7 22
9 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
10 Kortrijk 16 5 4 7 -5 19
11 Oostende 16 5 3 8 -13 18
12 Eupen 16 5 1 10 -15 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -10 13
15 Beveren 16 1 8 7 -7 11
16 Lokeren 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Cercle Brugge
1–0 Cristian Benavente
Massimo Bruno
16′
23′
🔁 Naomichi Ueda
↦ Benjamin Lambot
35′
🟨 Jeremy Taravel
37′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Kevin Appin
Cristian Benavente 🟨
51′
2–0 Victor Osimhen
Cristian Benavente
53′
56′
🔁 Adrien Bongiovanni
↦ Kevin Appin
3–0 Marco Ilaimaharitra
60′
Christophe Diandy 🔁
↦ Marco Ilaimaharitra
70′
70′
🔁 Kylian Hazard
↦ Irvin Cardona
Jérémy Perbet 🔁
↦ Cristian Benavente
72′
Adama Niane 🔁
↦ Victor Osimhen
79′
Gabriele Angella 🟨
84′
85′
Adrien Bongiovanni 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
33 Gabriele Angella D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
23 Steeven Willems D
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
77 Massimo Bruno F
14 Cristian Benavente M
88 Ali Gholizadeh F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
15 Valentin Baume
4 Maxime Busi
25 Núrio
6 Gjoko Zajkov
13 Christophe Diandy
39 David Henen
10 Jérémy Perbet
9 Adama Niane

Coach: P. Amodio

Cercle Brugge

4-4-2
1 Paul Nardi G
8 Lloyd Palun D
19 Benjamin Lambot D
4 Jeremy Taravel D
17 Yoann Etienne D
26 Kevin Appin M
6 Serge Gakpé M
5 Isaac Kone M
9 Gianni Bruno F
12 Dylan de Belder F
14 Irvin Cardona F
Bench (7)
16 Miguel Van Damme
24 Naomichi Ueda
29 Vitinho
15 Johanna Ochieng Omolo
27 Adrien Bongiovanni
13 Kylian Hazard
11 Guevin Tormin

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.