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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Maritimo

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

0,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

30%

60%

Both score Ø 45%

30%

60%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 13. · Vitoria Setubal 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	8	0	2	+15	24
2	Sp Lisbon	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Sp Braga	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Benfica	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Rio Ave	10	5	3	2	+4	18
6	Moreirense	10	5	1	4	-3	16
7	Guimaraes	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Belenenses	11	3	6	2	+0	15
9	Vitoria Setubal	10	4	2	4	+2	14
10	Santa Clara	11	4	2	5	+0	14
11	Portimonense	10	3	2	5	-6	11
12	Aves	10	3	1	6	-4	10
13	Maritimo	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Tondela	10	2	3	5	-2	9
15	Feirense	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Boavista	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Nacional	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Chaves	10	2	1	7	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Rio Ave	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Moreirense	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Vitoria Setubal	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Guimaraes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Portimonense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Aves	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Santa Clara	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Feirense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Nacional	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+6	10
2	Belenenses	6	2	4	0	+2	10
3	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+3	8
5	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nacional	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Moreirense	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Feirense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Aves	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Chaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.