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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Ath Madrid

S U S U S

1–1

Full-time

Barcelona

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,7

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 54%

50%

58%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

17%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

42%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,3

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

3 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	7	3	2	+16	24
2	Sevilla	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Ath Madrid	12	6	5	1	+8	23
4	Alaves	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Espanol	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Real Madrid	13	6	2	5	+1	20
7	Levante	13	5	3	5	-1	18
8	Eibar	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Valencia	13	3	8	2	+2	17
10	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
11	Girona	12	4	5	3	-1	17
12	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+1	16
14	Betis	12	4	4	4	-3	16
15	Celta	12	3	5	4	+2	14
16	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Ath Bilbao	12	1	7	4	-6	10
19	Vallecano	13	1	4	8	-14	7
20	Huesca	13	1	4	8	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Espanol	5	5	0	0	+7	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
4	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
5	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
6	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Celta	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
11	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Getafe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Sociedad	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Villarreal	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Vallecano	7	0	3	4	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
3	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
4	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-1	6
15	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Huesca	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.