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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Lillestrom
U U T U U
2–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
21%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
26 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 13. · Kristiansund 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 19 6 4 +27 63
2 Molde 29 17 5 7 +25 56
3 Brann 29 16 7 6 +13 55
4 Haugesund 29 15 5 9 +10 50
5 Kristiansund 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 Ranheim 29 12 6 11 -6 42
7 Odd 29 11 7 11 +2 40
8 Valerenga 29 10 9 10 -6 39
9 Sarpsborg 08 29 10 8 11 +5 38
10 Tromso 29 11 3 15 -5 36
11 Bodo/Glimt 29 6 13 10 -3 31
12 Stromsgodset 29 7 9 13 -2 30
13 Lillestrom 29 6 11 12 -12 29
14 Start 29 8 5 16 -22 29
15 Stabaek 29 6 10 13 -13 28
16 Sandefjord 29 4 11 14 -20 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Kristiansund
1–0 A. Smárason
K. Ødemarksbakken
15′
43′
🔁 H. Gjesdal
↦ D. Ulvestad
Half-time 1–0
64′
🟨 Amidou Diop
65′
🔁 S. Sørli
↦ F. Kastrati
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
73′
77′
🔁 L. Kalludra
↦ A. Diop
2–0 T. Olsen
A. Smárason
85′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
88 A. Smárason F
5 S. Rafn D
23 D. Pedersen M
17 K. Ødemarksbakken M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
11 E. Knudtzon
33 A. Melgalvis
3 S. Mikalsen
12 R. Ayagwa
15 E. Brenden
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Kristiansund

4-3-3
12 A. Vaikla G
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 C. Aasbak D
4 C. Psyché D
19 A. Hopmark D
18 S. Aasmundsen M
22 B. Sørmo D
21 A. Diop M
11 F. Kastrati F
13 B. Bye F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (6)
25 H. Gjesdal
24 S. Sørli
9 L. Kalludra
1 S. McDermott
14 J. Isaksen
15 E. Sivertsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.