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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sandefjord
U S T S U
1–3
Full-time
Molde
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 37%
14%
59%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
45%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
66%
59%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 16. · Molde 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 19 6 4 +27 63
2 Molde 29 17 5 7 +25 56
3 Brann 29 16 7 6 +13 55
4 Haugesund 29 15 5 9 +10 50
5 Kristiansund 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 Ranheim 29 12 6 11 -6 42
7 Odd 29 11 7 11 +2 40
8 Valerenga 29 10 9 10 -6 39
9 Sarpsborg 08 29 10 8 11 +5 38
10 Tromso 29 11 3 15 -5 36
11 Bodo/Glimt 29 6 13 10 -3 31
12 Stromsgodset 29 7 9 13 -2 30
13 Lillestrom 29 6 11 12 -12 29
14 Start 29 8 5 16 -22 29
15 Stabaek 29 6 10 13 -13 28
16 Sandefjord 29 4 11 14 -20 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Molde
1–0 H. Storbæk
W. Kurtović
8′
Pau Morer 🟨
18′
C. Reppesgård 🔁
↦ V. Bindia
30′
Rufo 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Kristoffer Haugen
45′
🟨 Magnus Eikrem
Half-time 1–1
49′
L. James 1–1
M. Eikrem
62′
🔁 D. Chima
↦ C. Remmer
E. Mjelde 🔁
↦ E. Pálsson
71′
72′
L. James 1–2
M. Eikrem
75′
M. Eikrem 1–3
F. Aursnes
S. Mørk 🔁
↦ Rufo Herraiz
77′
79′
🔁 B. Sarr
↦ M. Eikrem
84′
🔁 I. Ssewankambo
↦ E. Hestad
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
2 L. Grorud D
21 S. Ringstad D
19 V. Bindia D
13 M. Høibråten D
5 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
7 E. Pálsson M
18 W. Kurtović M
14 Rufo Herraiz F
10 Pau Morer M
Bench (7)
4 C. Reppesgård
8 E. Mjelde
47 S. Mørk
1 J. Storevik
15 P. Engblom
17 Marc Vales
46 G. Gibson

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Molde

4-3-3
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
10 L. James F
Bench (7)
27 D. Chima
8 B. Sarr
2 I. Ssewankambo
6 S. Gregersen
9 M. Mostrøm
26 M. Ranmark
30 E. Håland

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.