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Eliteserien

Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas

Tromso

T T T T S

0–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

72%

62%

Both score Ø 64%

62%

66%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 21

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 10. · Sarpsborg 08 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	29	19	6	4	+27	63
2	Molde	29	17	5	7	+25	56
3	Brann	29	16	7	6	+13	55
4	Haugesund	29	15	5	9	+10	50
5	Kristiansund	29	13	7	9	+7	46
6	Ranheim	29	12	6	11	-6	42
7	Odd	29	11	7	11	+2	40
8	Valerenga	29	10	9	10	-6	39
9	Sarpsborg 08	29	10	8	11	+5	38
10	Tromso	29	11	3	15	-5	36
11	Bodo/Glimt	29	6	13	10	-3	31
12	Stromsgodset	29	7	9	13	-2	30
13	Lillestrom	29	6	11	12	-12	29
14	Start	29	8	5	16	-22	29
15	Stabaek	29	6	10	13	-13	28
16	Sandefjord	29	4	11	14	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	15	11	1	3	+23	34
2	Rosenborg	14	9	4	1	+18	31
3	Haugesund	14	9	2	3	+9	29
4	Brann	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	Kristiansund	15	8	4	3	+10	28
6	Ranheim	15	8	4	3	+9	28
7	Odd	15	8	3	4	+11	27
8	Sarpsborg 08	15	7	3	5	+11	24
9	Tromso	14	7	2	5	+9	23
10	Valerenga	14	6	5	3	+3	23
11	Lillestrom	14	4	8	2	+2	20
12	Stabaek	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Start	15	6	2	7	-3	20
14	Stromsgodset	15	5	4	6	+7	19
15	Bodo/Glimt	15	4	6	5	+4	18
16	Sandefjord	14	3	4	7	-4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	15	10	2	3	+9	32
2	Brann	15	8	3	4	+1	27
3	Molde	14	6	4	4	+2	22
4	Haugesund	15	6	3	6	+1	21
5	Kristiansund	14	5	3	6	-3	18
6	Valerenga	15	4	4	7	-9	16
7	Sarpsborg 08	14	3	5	6	-6	14
8	Ranheim	14	4	2	8	-15	14
9	Bodo/Glimt	14	2	7	5	-7	13
10	Odd	14	3	4	7	-9	13
11	Tromso	15	4	1	10	-14	13
12	Stromsgodset	14	2	5	7	-9	11
13	Sandefjord	15	1	7	7	-16	10
14	Lillestrom	15	2	3	10	-14	9
15	Start	14	2	3	9	-19	9
16	Stabaek	15	1	5	9	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.