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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Stabaek
U T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Stromsgodset
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
59%
Both score Ø 64%
66%
62%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Stromsgodset 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 29 19 6 4 +27 63
2 Molde 29 17 5 7 +25 56
3 Brann 29 16 7 6 +13 55
4 Haugesund 29 15 5 9 +10 50
5 Kristiansund 29 13 7 9 +7 46
6 Ranheim 29 12 6 11 -6 42
7 Odd 29 11 7 11 +2 40
8 Valerenga 29 10 9 10 -6 39
9 Sarpsborg 08 29 10 8 11 +5 38
10 Tromso 29 11 3 15 -5 36
11 Bodo/Glimt 29 6 13 10 -3 31
12 Stromsgodset 29 7 9 13 -2 30
13 Lillestrom 29 6 11 12 -12 29
14 Start 29 8 5 16 -22 29
15 Stabaek 29 6 10 13 -13 28
16 Sandefjord 29 4 11 14 -20 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Stromsgodset
1–0 F. Boli
17′
32′
M. Abdellaoue 1–1
T. Nguen
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Keita
J. Moe
54′
J. Sæter 🔁
↦ O. Brynhildsen
75′
80′
🔁 L. Sætra
↦ A. Pellegrino
E. Bohinen 🔁
↦ A. Keita
85′
Franck Boli 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 Francisco Júnior
↦ H. Stengel
93′
M. Abdellaoue 2–2
L. Sætra
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
1 S. Kjellevold G
4 V. Demidov D
21 D. Granli D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
18 J. Moe D
19 A. Keita M
11 M. Njie M
42 T. Børkeeiet M
20 O. Brynhildsen M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
8 J. Sæter
23 E. Bohinen
22 H. Wulff
2 R. Hernández
5 S. Strømnes
25 H. Vetlesen
77 F. Valenčič

Coach: H. Berg

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
40 M. Sætra D
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
90 A. Pellegrino M
Bench (7)
39 L. Sætra
19 Francisco Júnior
18 M. Ovenstad
1 E. Pettersen
4 K. Madsen
11 K. Tokstad
17 C. Lindquist

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.