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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Barcelona

S U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 73%

75%

71%

Points per game

2,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

24%

Both score Ø 37%

50%

24%

Average goals

3,4

1,8

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

71% Possession 29%

10 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	15	3	2	+36	48
2	Ath Madrid	21	15	3	3	+22	48
3	Real Madrid	21	13	5	3	+38	44
4	Villarreal	21	12	5	4	+10	41
5	Celta	21	10	4	7	-1	34
6	Eibar	21	9	6	6	+8	33
7	Sevilla	21	9	6	6	+6	33
8	Ath Bilbao	21	9	4	8	+2	31
9	La Coruna	21	6	11	4	+3	29
10	Getafe	21	7	5	9	-5	26
11	Valencia	21	5	10	6	+4	25
12	Malaga	21	6	6	9	-3	24
13	Espanol	21	6	4	11	-15	22
14	Betis	21	5	7	9	-15	22
15	Sociedad	21	5	6	10	-9	21
16	Granada	21	5	5	11	-19	20
17	Vallecano	21	5	4	12	-19	19
18	Las Palmas	21	4	6	11	-12	18
19	Sp Gijon	20	5	3	12	-13	18
20	Levante	21	4	5	12	-18	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+31	31
2	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
3	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
5	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+7	23
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+10	21
7	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Ath Bilbao	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
12	Malaga	10	4	3	3	+4	15
13	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	La Coruna	10	3	5	2	+5	14
15	Vallecano	11	4	2	5	-2	14
16	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
17	Levante	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+0	12
9	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Valencia	11	2	3	6	-3	9
11	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
13	Granada	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Sp Gijon	11	2	1	8	-14	7
15	Sevilla	10	0	6	4	-6	6
16	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	10	1	2	7	-15	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.