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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Ath Madrid

U S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

12 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Ath Bilbao 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+17	24
2	Espanol	11	6	3	2	+7	21
3	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+9	20
4	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Alaves	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
8	Levante	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Girona	11	4	4	3	-1	16
12	Eibar	12	4	3	5	-6	15
13	Celta	11	3	5	3	+4	14
14	Valencia	12	2	8	2	-1	14
15	Betis	11	3	4	4	-4	13
16	Villarreal	11	2	4	5	-2	10
17	Ath Bilbao	11	1	7	3	-5	10
18	Leganes	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Vallecano	11	1	3	7	-11	6
20	Huesca	11	1	3	7	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Barcelona	6	4	2	0	+15	14
3	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Alaves	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Getafe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	6	0	5	1	-1	5
17	Sociedad	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Villarreal	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Huesca	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Vallecano	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
3	Levante	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Alaves	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Getafe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Villarreal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
13	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Ath Bilbao	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.