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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Beveren
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 10%
7%
13%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 14. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
2 Genk 10 7 3 0 +17 24
3 St Truiden 15 6 6 3 +6 24
4 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +16 23
5 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +12 23
6 Gent 10 7 1 2 +12 22
7 Charleroi 15 6 2 7 +0 20
8 Standard 11 5 4 2 +8 19
9 Cercle Brugge 15 5 4 6 -8 19
10 Oostende 15 5 3 7 -12 18
11 Kortrijk 15 4 4 7 -6 16
12 Eupen 16 5 1 10 -15 16
13 Waregem 16 4 3 9 -10 15
14 Beveren 15 1 8 6 -6 11
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -11 10
16 Lokeren 15 2 4 9 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Royal Excel Mouscron
39′
Frantzdy Pierrot 0–1
Fabrice Olinga
Francesco Forte 🟨
42′
44′
🟨 Fabrice Olinga
45′
🔁 Benjamin van Durmen
↦ Dimitri Mohamed
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Bilal Chibani
Paul Keita 🟨
61′
Djihad Bizimana 🔁
↦ Rafidine Abdullah
65′
71′
🟨 Benjamin van Durmen
73′
Manuel Benson 0–2
Frantzdy Pierrot
73′
🔁 Mergim Vojvoda
↦ Fabrice Olinga
74′
🔁 Mbaye Leye
↦ Bilal Chibani
75′
🟨 Giorgos Galitsios
Karlo Lulić 🔁
↦ Floriano Vanzo
76′
Apostolos Vellios 🔁
↦ Paul Keita
79′
1–2 Apostolos Vellios
86′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Beveren

4-3-3
33 Davy Roef G
4 Valtteri Moren D
23 Maximiliano Caufriez D
26 Aleksandar Vukotić D
3 Milan Massop D
15 Paul Keita M
10 Floriano Vanzo F
24 Rafidine Abdullah M
7 Aleksandar Boljević F
9 Francesco Forte F
22 Nana Opoku Ampomah M
Bench (9)
89 Kevin Debaty
28 Daam Foulon
52 Jur Schryvers
8 Djihad Bizimana
14 Denzel Jubitana
5 Karlo Lulić
13 Louis Verstraete
11 Beni Badibanga
39 Apostolos Vellios

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
33 Jean Butez G
13 Giorgos Galitsios D
2 Noe Dussenne D
15 Frank Boya M
31 Bruno Godeau D
26 Bilal Chibani F
24 Nikola Gulan M
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
21 Manuel Benson M
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
7 Fabrice Olinga F
Bench (7)
1 Olivier Werner
25 Christophe Diedhiou
27 Mergim Vojvoda
30 Benjamin van Durmen
18 Mbaye Leye
9 Yannis Mbombo
19 Andres Sarmiento

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.