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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Nantes
T S S S U
1–1
Full-time
Angers
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
24 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 10. · Angers 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 14 0 0 +39 42
2 Lyon 14 8 3 3 +8 27
3 Lille 13 8 2 3 +11 26
4 Montpellier 13 7 4 2 +12 25
5 St Etienne 14 6 5 3 +1 23
6 Marseille 13 7 1 5 +3 22
7 Nice 13 6 2 5 -4 20
8 Strasbourg 13 4 6 3 +4 18
9 Reims 13 4 5 4 -4 17
10 Nantes 13 4 4 5 +2 16
11 Bordeaux 13 4 4 5 -1 16
12 Rennes 13 4 4 5 -3 16
13 Angers 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Nimes 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Toulouse 14 3 5 6 -11 14
16 Amiens 13 4 1 8 -8 13
17 Caen 13 2 6 5 -5 12
18 Dijon 13 3 2 8 -11 11
19 Monaco 13 1 4 8 -10 7
20 Guingamp 13 1 4 8 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Angers
5′
S. Bahoken 0–1
F. Tait
Anthony Limbombe 🟨
23′
25′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
36′
🟨 Stéphane Bahoken
Half-time 0–1
71′
🟨 Mateo Pavlović
A. Waris 🔁
↦ Andrei Girotto
74′
Lucas Evangelista 🔁
↦ Boschilia
80′
81′
🔁 Cristian López
↦ S. Bahoken
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ A. Limbombe
83′
84′
🔁 T. Mangani
↦ F. Tait
Majeed Waris 🟨
85′
88′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
1–1 A. Waris
E. Sala
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nantes

4-3-3
30 C. Tătărușanu G
2 Fábio D
6 Lucas Lima D
4 N. Pallois D
3 Diego Carlos D
20 Andrei Girotto M
19 A. Touré M
12 Boschilia F
18 S. Moutoussamy M
22 A. Limbombe F
9 E. Sala F
Bench (7)
10 A. Waris
17 Lucas Evangelista
7 K. Coulibaly
1 M. Dupé
5 K. Mbodji
21 R. Krhin
25 E. Kwateng

Coach: V. Halilhodžić

Angers

3-1-4-2
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
25 A. Bamba D
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
9 Cristian López
5 T. Mangani
10 A. Fulgini
1 Z. Boucher
6 V. Pajot
11 W. Kanga
28 F. El Melali

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.