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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Vallecano

U T T U T

2–3

Full-time

Barcelona

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

10%

60%

Points per game

0,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 75%

70%

80%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+16	21
2	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+7	20
3	Alaves	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Levante	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Valladolid	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Girona	11	4	4	3	-1	16
10	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
12	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Betis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Valencia	11	1	8	2	-2	11
15	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
17	Villarreal	10	2	3	5	-2	9
18	Leganes	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Vallecano	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Huesca	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	2	0	+15	14
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	Alaves	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
8	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	6	0	5	1	-1	5
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Villarreal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.