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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
FC Emmen
T U T U U
2–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
2,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 16. · NAC Breda 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 11 0 0 +35 33
2 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +26 28
3 Feyenoord 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Heracles 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Utrecht 11 5 3 3 +2 18
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 3 4 +3 15
7 VVV Venlo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
8 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 -1 14
9 For Sittard 11 3 4 4 +0 13
10 Willem II 12 3 4 5 -3 13
11 Vitesse 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Excelsior 11 3 3 5 -7 12
13 Den Haag 11 3 3 5 -10 12
14 Zwolle 12 3 2 7 -9 11
15 De Graafschap 11 3 1 7 -11 10
16 FC Emmen 11 2 4 5 -14 10
17 NAC Breda 11 2 2 7 -12 8
18 Groningen 10 2 1 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen NAC Breda
41′
🟨 Gianluca Nijholt
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Cavlan
58′
60′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ M. Reuvers
62′
🟨 Fabian Sporkslede
Glenn Bijl 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 G. Leigh
↦ J. Carolina
82′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ G. Nijholt
E. Suliman 🔁
↦ T. Siekman
86′
2–0 J. Arias
C. Cavlan
88′
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ A. Jansen
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FC Emmen

5-3-2
12 K. Scherpen G
5 G. Klok D
3 T. Siekman D
22 C. Cavlan D
4 N. Bakker D
13 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl M
20 M. Chacón M
11 R. Niemeijer M
6 A. Jansen F
25 J. Arias F
Bench (10)
15 E. Suliman
17 L. Slagveer
1 P. van der Vlag
2 S. Gronsveld
7 W. Marinus
8 H. Ben Moussa
14 J. Bourdouxhe
21 K. Engbers
26 D. Telgenkamp
32 R. de Vos

Coach: D. Lukkien

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
4 M. Koch D
2 F. Sporkslede D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
15 J. Carolina D
28 G. Nijholt M
8 M. El Allouchi M
20 M. Reuvers M
17 M. Rosheuvel M
9 M. te Vrede F
7 G. Korte F
Bench (7)
6 A. Verschueren
21 G. Leigh
29 S. van Hooijdonk
16 T. Zwarthoed
22 R. Haemhouts
24 D. Klomp
26 K. Niemczycki

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.