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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Ath Bilbao

T U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Ath Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+6	9
4	Sociedad	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Villarreal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Levante	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Leganes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Las Palmas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Eibar	5	2	0	3	-7	6
14	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Girona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Celta	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	La Coruna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Alaves	4	0	0	4	-7	0
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Girona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-7	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Betis	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Malaga	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.