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Championship

Referee: Lee Mason

West Brom

S T T U T

4–1

Full-time

Leeds

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Championship · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 46%

44%

47%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

56%

47%

Both score Ø 68%

75%

60%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

28% Possession 72%

20 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 10. · Leeds 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	17	10	3	4	+8	33
2	Middlesbrough	17	8	7	2	+11	31
3	Sheffield United	17	9	3	5	+8	30
4	Derby	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Leeds	15	7	6	2	+12	27
6	Nott'm Forest	17	6	9	2	+7	27
7	Swansea	17	7	5	5	+6	26
8	Blackburn	17	6	8	3	-1	26
9	QPR	17	8	2	7	-4	26
10	West Brom	16	7	4	5	+9	25
11	Aston Villa	17	6	6	5	+4	24
12	Birmingham	17	5	9	3	+3	24
13	Bristol City	17	6	4	7	+1	22
14	Stoke	17	5	7	5	-1	22
15	Brentford	17	5	6	6	+4	21
16	Wigan	17	6	2	9	-7	20
17	Sheffield Weds	17	5	5	7	-9	20
18	Preston	17	4	6	7	-4	18
19	Rotherham	17	4	6	7	-9	18
20	Reading	17	4	4	9	-5	16
21	Millwall	17	4	4	9	-7	16
22	Hull	17	4	4	9	-8	16
23	Bolton	17	4	4	9	-12	16
24	Ipswich	17	1	8	8	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Middlesbrough	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Norwich	9	6	0	3	+2	18
4	Brentford	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Derby	8	5	2	1	+6	17
6	Wigan	8	5	2	1	+4	17
7	West Brom	8	5	1	2	+10	16
8	QPR	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Nott'm Forest	9	4	4	1	+3	16
10	Leeds	8	4	3	1	+8	15
11	Birmingham	9	3	6	0	+5	15
12	Aston Villa	8	4	3	1	+5	15
13	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+3	15
14	Swansea	8	4	2	2	+6	14
15	Millwall	8	4	2	2	+4	14
16	Blackburn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
17	Preston	8	3	3	2	+4	12
18	Bristol City	9	3	2	4	+0	11
19	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+0	11
20	Reading	9	3	1	5	+1	10
21	Sheffield Weds	8	2	4	2	-3	10
22	Hull	8	2	2	4	-2	8
23	Bolton	9	2	1	6	-8	7
24	Ipswich	8	0	6	2	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	8	4	3	1	+6	15
2	Middlesbrough	8	3	4	1	+4	13
3	Leeds	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Sheffield United	8	4	0	4	+1	12
5	Swansea	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Blackburn	8	3	3	2	-2	12
7	Nott'm Forest	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Derby	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Bristol City	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Stoke	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Sheffield Weds	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	QPR	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Aston Villa	9	2	3	4	-1	9
14	West Brom	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Birmingham	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Bolton	8	2	3	3	-4	9
17	Hull	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	Reading	8	1	3	4	-6	6
19	Preston	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Ipswich	9	1	2	6	-10	5
21	Brentford	9	0	4	5	-6	4
22	Wigan	9	1	0	8	-11	3
23	Rotherham	9	0	3	6	-12	3
24	Millwall	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.