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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Espanol

S U S S U

1–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

50%

10%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

8 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 5. · Ath Bilbao 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+17	24
2	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+9	20
3	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+7	20
4	Alaves	11	6	2	3	+4	20
5	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Levante	11	5	2	4	+1	17
8	Getafe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Valladolid	11	4	4	3	+0	16
10	Girona	11	4	4	3	-1	16
11	Celta	11	3	5	3	+4	14
12	Eibar	11	4	2	5	-6	14
13	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Betis	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Valencia	11	1	8	2	-2	11
16	Villarreal	11	2	4	5	-2	10
17	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
18	Leganes	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Vallecano	11	1	3	7	-11	6
20	Huesca	11	1	3	7	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	2	0	+15	14
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	Alaves	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	6	0	5	1	-1	5
17	Sociedad	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Villarreal	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Huesca	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Vallecano	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
2	Levante	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Alaves	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Getafe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Villarreal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.